Decision to invest
the simple ways
Several years ago in Penang, there was this nice semi
corner three storey ground floor apartment for sale at a then record price of
RM300K. (It was a record price because at that time, never has there been a sale
of more than RM300K or near it in this low density gated apartment).
This ground floor unit’s balcony and kitchen’s views
are excellent, over-looking a big playing field with plenty of big trees. In
the early morning and evening, many people would be exercising, taking a walk
or jogging there. Such a nice place to stay.
This “good friend of mine” was real keen to purchase
the unit for his staying with his family. Having a real feel of the unit when
the broker allowed him for a viewing, he was real, real upbeat to pay the
record price. (At that times, several people were also viewing the unit).
But this “good friend of mine” was unsure whether he
would be paying too much for this unit. He consulted a few of his good friends
for their views before making the purchase. None of them agreed to the asking
RM300K price. They felt the price was too much. They valued the unit’s price
should not be more than RM280K.
Encouraged by his “expert” friends’ valuation price,
this “good friend of mine” refused to pay the asking price. Instead he offered
RM280K which was flatly rejected. But this “good friend of mine” still liked
the unit very much. So this “good friend of mine” decided to increase his offer
to RM285K which was also rejected.
The broker advised this “good friend of mine” to just
pay the asking price and secure his dream home just like that. But because this
“good friend of mine” was influenced by the views of his friends’ lower
valuation price, he refused and only offered to increase his price to RM290K
the next morning. Still it was rejected.
But this “good friend of mine” was convinced that
this unit was a real nice happy place to stay, he decided to increase his offer
to RM295K by the afternoon. And if still rejected, then he would give to his
asking price of RM300K.
So in the afternoon, when he called the broker again,
(convinced that he would close the deal), he was shocked to learn that someone
else had purchased it at the asking price only one hour earlier!
This “good friend of mine” was devastated that such a
nice unit would not be his anymore. (Not that he could not afford, but because
he wasn’t willing to pay for the asking price initially). Even until today,
each time he drives pass that area, there is this painful feeling in his heart
of missing out to purchase and stay in this nice ground floor unit).
What can we learn
from the above true
story?
It is only natural to seek others’ views when
deciding to purchase a property that most probably costs such a big amount of
money. But different people will give different views. If only this “good
friend of mine” had seek even more views, there could be just one simple view
from someone else who may just ask this “good friend of mine” this simple
question : Do you really like to stay in this unit? Would you be happy to stay
there? Can you afford within your means? If the answers are yes, then just pay
the asking price. Unfortunately, this “good friend of mine” did not meet that
someone who would be asking him that three questions. Instead what he was told
was that the concerned property was too overvalued.
It is also natural that when it comes to investing in
Bursa Malaysia, we tend to seek the views of other “experts”. The more
“experts” we seek out to ask, the more views one will get until it becomes too
complicated for one to digest.
Actually, one should not be too concerned about this.
For there is always two sides to a coin for everything. There are always pros
and cons too.
I do not seek the views of others, but I do read
their views if possible. Who knows, sometimes they would be seeing from another
different angles which I will not see it. But in the end, I seek my own views,
decide on it finally when it comes to investing. I like to look for small
companies that are making reasonable consistent profits, have some cash, paying
our regular dividends and trading at undemanding levels. Their businesses must
also be easy to understand. Better still if their businesses are there to stay
for years and years to come.
That is the way how the
writer makes
his decision to invest
the simple ways.
So dear Jeremiah
Jonas-Lee, I hope to clear your doubts about investing regarding YSPSAH
which in the email, you expressed your concerned about this numbers ie:
1. ROE of
around 7%
2. 5 year average ROE of 9%
3. Profit margin of 7%
4. Decreasing EPS
5. Payout ratio over 60%
(for a
company supposedly expanding?)
6. Dividend growth rate of only 3%
Do not be too worry about all this numbers. For each
time, a company announces its quarterly reports, the above numbers would not be
the same anymore.
There is no such thing called a perfect stock. There
are always some element of risks involved when it comes to investing. There is no free lunch when it comes to
investing. Even the “most perfect” stock that one has invested may turn out
into the most hated and sick stock when its business could not compete with its
competitors and suffers declining sales and eventually leading to making loss.
When that happens, you can bet that its share price will also be going down
somewhere.
In short, do not be too confused and complicated by
too much views of many. Make it simple. Make investing a joy especially when it
comes to receiving dividends that is above average fixed deposit’s rate and
seeing some capital appreciation in the share price.
Happy investing, Jeremiah!
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