Buying Focus Lumber shares
Cash rich
companies with stable earnings and paying good dividends with a focus
management team are companies that would usually attract conservative investors
who don't mind much about the share price, but rather the consistent good
dividends dished out every year.
Sometimes,
such companies' share price are stable or on a steady slow gradual chart. Over
a period of times, its share price could even be at its new or near new high or
52-week high.
At this
price, how many investors would be jumping into the wagon. The adage that
"buy low sell high" or better to buy near its 52-week low than near
its 52-week high" would deter many an investor.
But if that
company is able to repeat and maintain its stable earnings or better still,
improved earnings, then nature will take its course. Its share price would move
higher again in tandem with rising earnings.
One such
stock that is trading near its 52-week high is Sabah-based plywood manufacturer
Focus Lumber Bhd. The company was recently featured in The Edge issue on
Mar 30, 2015.
Having read
the feature and digested it, it is not difficult to understand why it is
trading near its 52-week high.
As Focus
Lumber's exports over 90% to the world, and
almost all is mainly denominated in US dollars, the current weak ringgit
exchange is indeed a BIG boon
to the company.
The US is
the largest market which over 67% of Focus Lumber's products were exported
there. India, South Korea and Taiwan are the other markets. Also as the weak
ringgit again the greenback situation looks likely to persist for months to
come, the bottom-line become more favorable for Focus Lumber in the longer run.
Steady &
rising dividends
Dividends of
8 sen for Financial year 2013 and 2014 translate to a dividend yield of around
5% at the current price of RM1.50 plus minus. This is considered a very
attractive one for conservative investors. Looking forward, I also believed the
management will slowly increase the dividend payout to 10 sen in the coming
years and that would increase the yield even more attractive to 6%.
Cash hoard
keeps on increasing
Focus
Lumber's cash hoard has been increasing since 2010. From 2010, its cash was
RM25.8 Million. But by the end of 2014, its cash hoard has been more than
double at RM59 Million. Such astonishing rise of cash is indeed good for the
company and shareholders because it can be used for merger or acquire another
company or well, for conservative investors is to reward with special dividends
or one off bumper dividends.
At the
current rate, Focus Lumber's cash is set to rise even higher from a cash per
share of 57.5 sen.
Less men
more share
There are
only a total of 103,200,00 shares of Focus Lumber. Surprisingly and much to my
delight, the top thirty largest shareholders "cornered" up to a
staggering of 91.47% shares or 94,382,400 shares (according to its Annual
Report 2013).
This leaves
only a mere number of 9,427,920 shares left in the open market. As the saying
say, Less Men More Share means there are less shares in the open market, the
greater demand will result in stronger share price.
But there
are some investors who are worried due to this low liquidity stock. I beg to
differ as based on my experience, this is really not true. Readers will
remember that another of my favorites company Mercury Industries Berhad
also has a low liquidity trading activity. But due to its stable earnings and
good dividends, the share price has also appreciated gradually from below RM1
to the RM1.40 - RM1.50 levels - low liquidity or not.
The
"Leng Kam" feeling is there!
The Hokkien
people has a saying that when one feels the "Leng Kam", then that motivation to act is at a very high
level. One must be brave enough to go for it. "Leng Kam" means one
feels that this is it, do not wait anymore, be bold enough to do it or buy it
or bet on it.
In this
case, when I finished reading the Focus Lumber
article, my body was full of "Leng Kam" feeling for this
stock. Never mind that it is now trading near its 52-week high.
When I first
invested in Integrax in July 2013, the stock was already trading near its
52-week high and the new high of the last 8 years. But the
"Leng Kam" feeling was so powerful inside me that I went for the kill
and invested not one, but to the tune of 18,000 shares!
For the
average man in the street, the amount is rather quiet a big sum. But my
"Leng Kam" was proven to be very right in the end as we all know that
Integrax is being offered at RM3.25 by Tenaga Nasional Berhad.
Buying 10,000 shares of
Focus Lumber Berhad
at RM1.52.
On Apr 3,
2015, my strong "Leng Kam" feeling told me what to do. I have decided
to invest in this cash rich company at RM1.52 even though I know that it is
trading near its 52-week high.
Based on its
current business direction with the prolonged weak ringgit against the
greenback, Focus Lumber should be poised to report higher earnings in the
several coming quarters and hence, the good performance will be reflected in
its share price .... meaning new 52-week
high again!
So dear friends, after reading this
and if you have the "Leng
Kam" feeling,
go ahead and be brave just like me.
Together we will ride this new
journey
with Focus Lumber.
Please take
note that this posting supercedes an article about Integrax Berhad which
I wanted to post, because I want readers to know as fast as possible the timing
of my purchase of Focus Lumber shares.
I shall be
posting my contract notes in the next blog.
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