Braveheart of Bursa Malaysia
Braveheart
is a 1995 epic historical medieval war drama film directed by and starring Mel
Gibson. Gibson portrays William Wallace, a 13th-century Scottish warrior who
led the Scots in the First War of Scottish Independence against King Edward I
of England.
The story is based on
Blind Harry's epic poem The Actes and Deidis of the Illustre and Vallyeant
Campioun Schir William Wallace and was adapted for the screen by Randall
Wallace. It has been described as one of the most historically inaccurate
modern films.
The film was nominated
for ten Academy Awards at the 68th Academy Awards and won five: Best Picture,
Best Makeup, Best Cinematography, Best Sound Editing, and Best Director.
I really like this movie
and must have seen it several times. I like the fighting scenes and I like the
bravery shown by William Wallace in inspiring the Scottish people to fight in
that final dramatic battle against the superior undefeated English army.
In the current
turbulence times at Bursa Malaysia where "red bloods" scenes are
almost an every day affair, I am sure there are only few Bravehearts who would
dare to pick up cheap fundamental shares to keep for the longer term.
But first, A true story
about our own local Bravehearts. In the early part of 2008, my good
friend, let us call him Braveheart seeked my advice about his decision
to invest a 1,000 shares in Tenaga. At that time, Tenaga was traded at
around RM6.50 to RM7.00. I shared with him my opinion but the final decision
must come from him.
Braveheart went on to
purchase at below RM7.00 and several months later sold at around RM8.50 plus
level. Elated with his good profits within several months, he wanted to go for
the next more expensive share, Public Bank at around RM9.00 level.
At RM9.00, the share
price of Public Bank at that time was considered at its peak's high. But as
good coverage and buys initiated by so many research houses were too much to
resist at that time, Braveheart was brave enough to go ahead and became a 1,000
shareowners of Malaysia's bluest and most fundamental bank.
Braveheart's timing of
purchasing Public Bank shares was just shortly before the beginning of early
September 2008 when the US subprime mortage crisis reached a critical stage.
For the next several months
and into 2009, the US subprime mortage crisis went on to snowball into the
famous Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009.
The whole world stock
market plumented to unprecendental levels. Stock prices kept on falling. Those
without fundamental and strong balance sheet and coupled with high debts fell
faster than the speed of DC's famous comic hero, Flash.
If you were an investor
at that time, you would have that wish that you had never touch the stock
market and had contendedly kept your hard earned cash in bank earning paltry
interest. At least you could sleep soundly at that time.
Those with strong
balance sheet and with fundamental business such as Public Bank was also slowly
and gradually declining in share price, day by day. Braveheart was worried by
the days and the on-going turmoil that went on for several months affected him
physically and mentally.
His daily life was not
the same anymore. His daily work was also affected as he could not concentrate
properly. Braveheart asked me again if holding on or selling at a loss was a
better option. I shared with him my opinion that I would not know the future
direction of the stock market, either it goes down or it goes up again.
But Braveheart was
worried that his Public Bank share price would keep on declining further,
possible from RM7 to RM6 and then to RM5 or keep on going down. If that
happened, Braveheart would not be able to stomach such "colossal"
loss as that money meant a lot to him. Worse, he would be highly stressed for as long as that situation
persisted.
Eventually, Braveheart
decided enough is enough and sold his Public Bank shares at just the RM7 level
to another investor (let us called him the New Braveheart).
Well, we shall never
know what happened to this New Braveheart who bought this Public Bank share at
just RM7. But if this New Braveheart had kept the shares until today, the New
Braveheart would have reaped massive profits from his purchase - done at that
very turbulence time when all shares were "offered" at a
massive bargain by weak investors.
The REWARDS for
this New Braveheart is if he had kept the shares until today is something like
this ..... Dividends from 2010 until 2014 is a total of RM2560.00. There was a
share dividend of 1 for 68 shares in 2010. In June 2014, there was a right
issue of 1 for 10 at RM13.80.
The current share price
of Public Bank is RM17.50 plus. Yet Public Bank touched a record high of
RM21.60 this year.
Today, I am sure my good
friend Braveheart must have rued his decision to let go of Public Bank share at
times ....when everything seemed gone.
What can we learn
from this above story?
For one, when crisis
happens, stock market prices tend to be affected. Weak shareholders would sell
in droves after droves. Strong investors who can hold on for a longer time
frame will try to bid at lower price. Hence, we see many good companies trading
at a huge discount.
It is at this time that
those with bravehearts would venture in to buy at bargain prices for some of
the most fundamental companies with strong balance sheet and sound management
and with a good dividend policy.
We should be the
BRAVEHEARTS now with this oil plunging regime offering us opportunities to buy
many good stocks trading at near 52-week low.
Only few months back, we
would be dreaming to buy those good stocks as there were trading at 52-week
high or near that.
As such, I am continuing
to purchase more shares that trade near its 52-week low.
Buying 6,000 shares of
Century Logistics
Holdings Berhad.
at RM0.64 on Jan 6,
2015.
Century Logistics
Holdings Berhad is a Malaysia-based investment holding
company. It operates in two divisions: total logistics services and procurement
logistics services.
In oil and gas
logistics, the Company provides floating storage and transshipment services for
international oil trading companies. It also provides procurement logistics
services to electrical and electronics customers.
The Company is involved
in the supply chain management and ship husbandry for fuel oil traders,
including the services for floating storage units (FSU) within the port limits
of PTP and Pasir Gudang in Johor.
Century Logistics pays
reasonable good dividends, normally an interim followed by a final dividend.
Recently it paid out a 2 sen interim dividend on Dec 19, 2014. Let us hope that
there will be a usual final dividend when it announces its 4th Qtr results on
Feb 2015.
On Sep 23, Century
undertook a Bonus Split of 1 : 2 and then a Bonus Issue of 1 : 2. On Oct 2, it
closed at RM2.34 and the next day following the adjusted price, closed at 78
sen.
At the height of the oil
crisis, it touched a low of 53 sen on Dec 16. So I am not exactly buying at the
the 52 week low, but also not near its adjusted high of 78 sen.
Hi Kassim,
ReplyDeleteWhat do you think about UCHITEC in these ringgit depreciation?
It give 5.6% of net dividend annually...