My Bet on Integrax
was Spot On!
One of the
most important traits in investing is to have that ability to be early enough
to spot on potential undiscovered good stocks trading at very undemanding
value.
Should one
has that ability and spotted one, one should have the courage to buy some
shares in that company and patiently wait for the time to come.
In 2013, I
went for a two day one night trip at Pulau Pangkor. I had the opportunity to
see the ports at Lumut were having a very busy schedule all day long. Coming
home, I did some research and was thrilled to see that the busy ports belonged
to Integrax Berhad.
A further
"check" revealed that Integrax is in cash rich position and not one
single individual or company owned a very substantial stakes in the company,
examples 40% or 51% stakes.
In fact, the
three major share holders holds a total
collectively 60.67% - 22.81% by Amin Halim Rasip (original founding
shareholder), 22.12% by Tenaga Nasional Berhad and 15.74% by Perak
Corporation Berhad.
A thought
came up to me that if these three major shareholders decided to take Integrax
private one day, it would not face much resistance. Perhaps the major
resistance would have come from the Integrax's number five top shareholders
i.e. TSM Global Berhad holding 12,000 million shares or 3.99%.
Based on
that, I bought a handful of Integrax shares at an average price of RM1.85 in
2013.
When I
posted the blog : Integrax's Future Potential Kingmaker on January 27, 2014,
at that time, I believed that
Tenaga, being a government-linked stock and Perak Corp - also a state agency
under the government would have no problem teaming up together and if they can
get the support of Amin, would possibly launch a takeover offer for Integrax at
any time.
Should that
happens, then TSM would be in a Kingmaker's position to support or even ask for
a higher offer. But things are not what we expect to be. Instead it was Tenaga
alone launching the takeover offer.
Why Tenaga
wants Integrax?
It is not
difficult to understand why Tenaga wants to own Integrax fully or at least
having strong management control, but of course it would be better to fully own
it rather than not.
Being the
major user of the port and with more coals shipment coming in the future, it
makes sense to fully own the port and dictate control. But now it cannot
because the other two major shareholders have different plans, directions and
social responsibilities for Integrax.
I strongly
believe Tenaga has big plans for Integrax once it is fully under its control or
privatised. But of course, Tenaga would not be telling us right now. Instead,
Tenaga is "supported" by some "stupid" analysts who
recommended that at RM2.75, it is a fantastic offer considering that Integrax
never traded at the price during the last ten years.
Sorry if I
am a little blunt in calling those analysts stupid. Analysts are supposed to be
very educated people who graduated with high honours. That is why they are able
to analyse this and that and come out with a recommendation. This time, they
think the minorities shareholders are easy to misled them in parting with
Integrax shares to Tenaga.
Did they
think of the future potential business of Integrax or are they talking about
the past performance of Integrax only? The present offer price doesn't mean it
is fair based on the past performance of Integrax.
Obviously
there is a hidden agenda from Tenaga which of course we can only guess this and
that only.
Why Amin
refused to sell at RM2.75?
Amin Halim
Rasip (the original founding shareholder) is someone who knows the enterprising
values of Integrax more than anyone else. If not for his statement issued, I
sincerely would not have known so much the potential earnings and future
business of Integrax.
For example,
I did not know that Integrax is one of the few ports in the world with one of
the main terminals operating in deep water.
Furthermore,
Integrax holds cash as much as RM154 million which translated into cash per
share of 50 sen. That means Tenaga is only valuing Integrax at a PE of only
16.5 and not 20.
That also
means Tenaga is effectively paying only RM2.25 per share for each Integrax
share which is even lower than the
pre-offer price!
If Tenaga is
sincere enough, Tenaga should offer significantly higher then RM2.75 per share
plus the distribution of RM154 million to each shareholder. Then perhaps this
might sound a bit tempting. Otherwise, it is not an attractive offer at all.
I am with
you, Encik Amin.
It is about
time those "Davids" team up with Encik Amin and show it to Tenaga that
the offer price is extremely too low! Interestingly, TSM with a 12,000 millions
shares are now pondering which sides to take. Years back, my 36,000 shares of
TSM was forcefully taken privatised by the company even though I could not be
bothered to go to the stock broking firm
to sign the documents to hand over my shares to them. They simply sent me a
check.
So what goes
around must come around. This time, TSM are in a position as I was several years back. And this time,
ironically, TSM and I owned shares of the same company together!
So to Encik
Amin, you have my supports and my followers' as well. I appeal to other
minorities to join Encik Amin to challenge Tenaga this time.
Minorities
should be brave enough to show their
support. When we have strong support, Tenaga would be forced to make a revised
offer which must be attractive enough.
In fact, I
am suggesting that first, Tenaga must make a very significant higher revised
offer and also the distribution of Integrax's cash hoard of RM154 million to
all shareholders!
Hear it,
Tenaga Nasional Berhad?
Delloyd
Ventures Bhd's privatisation is on!
Delloyd
Ventures Bhd (DVB) obtained its shareholders' approval at the
extraordinary general meeting held on Jan 15, 2015 for the takeover by major
shareholders.
The
Selective Capital Reduction will result in entitled shareholders receiving a
total capital repayment of RM181.15 million, or RM5.15 per share.
DVB's
Managing Director Datuk Seri Tee Boon Kee said that the privatization exercise
will be completed by end-March and delisting of DVB from the bourse will take
place in April.
Once again,
I have lost another battle to keep my shares when it came to a privatisation
exercise. Recall that on Aug 19, 2014, I bought 2,000 shares of Delloyd hoping
that the privatisation exercise would not be a successful one. Well, it looked
like the major minorities' approval were easily obtained at the extraordinary
general meeting.
Stocks
prices have recovered at the moment
During the
last two weeks, I have not been able to purchase any stocks which fit into my
requirements' lists. Some which I have
earlier identified have recovered substantially and some in between 52 week
high and low.
But I am
still monitoring and as such, should an opportunity presents itself, you can
bet that I will be making a purchase on it. Stay tune.
Mr Sim on
Jan 12, 2015 asked this question:
What do you
think about Uchi Tech in these ringgit depreciation?
It give 5.6%
of net dividend annually...
Dear Mr Sim,
Uchi Tech
will benefit from the stronger dollar's rise as most of its revenue is quoted
in the green back.
That is why
Uchi Tech is now trading higher its 52 week high. Dividend payout is also
attractive. What do you think?
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